| 03/21 13:28 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
3%
|
NO |
47.0% |
75% |
TRADE |
The target range of 36-37°F is extremely low for a high temperature in late March Seattle. Historical data shows late March highs average 54-55°F, and current 7-day forecasts show highs of 48-57°F app |
51,486 / 1,042 |
$0.1701 |
| 03/21 13:27 |
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-03-21? |
50%
|
25%
|
NO |
25.0% |
70% |
TRADE |
Qingdao Xihaian FC (also known as Qingdao West Coast) has had a terrible start to the 2026 season with 0 wins in 2 matches, scoring only 1 goal while conceding 6. Their opponent Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
30,736 / 1,003 |
$0.1073 |
| 03/21 13:27 |
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
50%
|
22%
|
NO |
28.0% |
75% |
TRADE |
Belgium is heavily favored to win Group G as the 9th-ranked team versus Iran at 20th. Iran has never escaped the group stage in seven World Cup appearances and faces off-field distractions from geopol |
48,569 / 1,117 |
$0.1625 |
| 03/21 13:26 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on March 23? |
50%
|
15%
|
NO |
35.0% |
60% |
SKIP |
Historical data shows late March Dallas highs average 72°F, well above the 65°F threshold. Current conditions show extreme heat in the 90s, though a cold front could follow. With only 2 days until res |
35,414 / 1,015 |
$0.1215 |
| 03/21 13:25 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 23? |
50%
|
12%
|
NO |
38.0% |
72% |
TRADE |
Historical data shows Miami's high temperatures in late March typically range from 78-81°F. A high of 71°F or below would be approximately 7-10°F below normal, which is rare but not unprecedented. The |
48,011 / 1,082 |
$0.1603 |
| 03/21 13:25 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on March 24? |
50%
|
2%
|
NO |
48.0% |
85% |
TRADE |
Weather forecasts show Seattle's high on March 24 at 52°F, well above the 35°F threshold. Normal late-March highs are 53-57°F. A high of 35°F or below would be exceptionally rare, requiring extreme co |
24,763 / 889 |
$0.0876 |
| 03/21 13:24 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
2%
|
NO |
48.0% |
85% |
TRADE |
Historical data shows late March highs in Seattle average 54-55°F. A high of 36-37°F would be 18-19 degrees below normal and even below the typical daily low of 39°F. This would require an unprecedent |
53,778 / 1,089 |
$0.1777 |
| 03/21 13:23 |
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21? |
50%
|
32%
|
NO |
18.0% |
72% |
TRADE |
Despite Getafe's superior recent form (60% win rate vs Espanyol's 0%), multiple factors work against them: Espanyol has home advantage, won the last two H2H meetings, and betting markets still favor t |
69,842 / 1,338 |
$0.2296 |
| 03/21 13:23 |
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-03-21? |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
15% |
SKIP |
Unable to confirm that Qingdao Xihaian FC has a match scheduled on March 21, 2026. Search results show Qingdao West Coast FC playing Shenzhen Peng City on that date, but Qingdao Xihaian FC appears to |
52,341 / 914 |
$0.1707 |
| 03/21 13:21 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on March 24? |
50%
|
2%
|
NO |
48.0% |
85% |
TRADE |
Current forecasts show Seattle temperatures in the low 50s°F for March 24, 2026, with normal highs ranging 53-57°F for late March. A high of 35°F or below would be extraordinarily rare and would requi |
24,763 / 886 |
$0.0876 |
| 03/21 13:20 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
2%
|
NO |
48.0% |
75% |
TRADE |
Historical data shows Seattle's average high in late March is 52-55°F. The 36-37°F range represents an extreme 18°F negative departure from normal, closer to typical overnight lows than daytime highs. |
54,999 / 982 |
$0.1797 |
| 03/21 13:20 |
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21? |
50%
|
28%
|
NO |
22.0% |
72% |
TRADE |
Getafe faces significant away scoring challenges, failing to score in 7 of their last 9 away matches. While Espanyol are winless in 12, they maintain home advantage and a strong historical record in t |
60,799 / 1,431 |
$0.2039 |
| 03/21 13:18 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
2%
|
NO |
48.0% |
85% |
TRADE |
Current forecasts show March 24 highs around 53-54°F, consistent with normal late-March patterns. A high of only 36-37°F would be extraordinarily cold for Seattle in late March—this is below even the |
50,454 / 1,046 |
$0.1671 |
| 03/21 13:17 |
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21? |
50%
|
28%
|
NO |
22.0% |
62% |
SKIP |
Getafe faces Espanyol away from home. While Getafe has better recent form (60% win rate vs 0%), they struggle in away matches and employ a defensive style that leads to low-scoring draws. Espanyol is |
34,039 / 1,231 |
$0.1206 |
| 03/21 13:16 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
3%
|
NO |
47.0% |
75% |
TRADE |
Seattle's normal high temperature for late March is approximately 54°F. The question asks for a high temperature of 36-37°F, which is 17-18°F below normal and represents an extreme cold anomaly. Addit |
51,091 / 1,180 |
$0.1710 |
| 03/21 13:16 |
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21? |
50%
|
32%
|
NO |
18.0% |
55% |
SKIP |
Despite Getafe's strong recent form (60% win rate in last 5 matches with impressive wins over Real Madrid and Real Betis), they face Espanyol away from home. While Espanyol is winless in their last 5 |
45,574 / 1,163 |
$0.1542 |
| 03/21 13:14 |
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21? |
50%
|
28%
|
NO |
22.0% |
72% |
TRADE |
Getafe faces Espanyol away on March 21. Despite Getafe's decent recent form (3 wins in last 5), they struggle away from home and Espanyol has a dominant home record against them (unbeaten in last 8 ho |
33,389 / 1,337 |
$0.1202 |
| 03/21 13:14 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
This market asks about XRP's direction in a 5-minute window (9:10-9:15AM ET). Current price is $1.44, trading in a tight $1.43-$1.47 range with sideways consolidation. XRP is down 1.27% in 24h with no |
69,590 / 1,214 |
$0.2270 |
| 03/21 13:13 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 9AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Without clear resolution criteria for what constitutes 'up or down' at 9AM ET on March 21, and given cryptocurrency's random walk behavior over such short timeframes, this market has no analyzable edg |
41,508 / 1,181 |
$0.1422 |
| 03/21 13:12 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is testing critical $70K support amid extreme fear (Fear & Greed: 12) after the 5th test of this level in 10 days. Technical analysis suggests the 5th test often results in a breakdown. Howeve |
44,122 / 1,045 |
$0.1480 |
| 03/21 13:12 |
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21? |
50%
|
35%
|
NO |
15.0% |
55% |
SKIP |
Getafe faces a challenging away fixture despite strong recent form. While they've won 3 of their last 5 matches including victories over Real Madrid and Real Betis, their away record is poor (losing a |
60,023 / 1,428 |
$0.2015 |
| 03/21 13:06 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
2%
|
NO |
48.0% |
90% |
TRADE |
Current NWS and local forecasts unanimously predict a high of 53-54°F for March 24, approximately 17°F warmer than the 36-37°F range. The target temperature range is more typical of overnight lows rat |
51,971 / 1,041 |
$0.1715 |
| 03/21 13:06 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is trading around $70,700 with extreme market fear and technical weakness. Options expiry on March 22 with max pain at $71,000 creates some upward pull, but the $70K support has been tested 4 |
43,492 / 989 |
$0.1453 |
| 03/21 13:05 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
This question asks about Ethereum's direction in a specific 15-minute window on a Saturday morning. Current price around $2,140-$2,160 with extreme fear sentiment (Fear & Greed Index at 12) and bearis |
42,794 / 1,380 |
$0.1491 |
| 03/21 13:05 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is showing slight upward momentum over the past 24 hours, trading at $70,760 as of 8:31 AM ET, up from $70,416 the prior day. However, predicting price direction in a 5-minute window (8:55-9:0 |
43,368 / 1,056 |
$0.1459 |
| 03/21 13:04 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
15% |
SKIP |
Predicting XRP price direction within a 5-minute window (8:35-8:40 AM ET) is essentially random noise. XRP is currently range-bound between $1.43-$1.47 with low momentum and consolidating price action |
44,595 / 954 |
$0.1481 |
| 03/21 13:04 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
This 5-minute prediction market is essentially a coin flip with minimal predictable edge. While Bitcoin shows slight upward momentum over 24 hours and is holding above $70K support, 5-minute price mov |
44,244 / 1,212 |
$0.1509 |
| 03/21 13:03 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Predicting 15-minute cryptocurrency price movements is extremely challenging and approaches random walk behavior. While SOL shows slight 24-hour upward momentum (+1.50%), it faces conflicting signals |
64,414 / 1,210 |
$0.2114 |
| 03/21 13:03 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NEITHER |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
XRP is trading in a tight consolidation range around $1.44 with extremely low 15-minute volatility (~0.7% ATR). The market shows balanced technical indicators with moving averages clustered at current |
68,563 / 1,166 |
$0.2232 |
| 03/21 13:02 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is currently trading around $70,750 with extreme fear sentiment (index: 12) and options max pain at $71,000 for March 22 expiry. The 15-minute window is too short for meaningful directional pr |
43,763 / 1,187 |
$0.1491 |
| 03/21 13:01 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
20% |
SKIP |
Predicting a 15-minute price movement in cryptocurrency markets is essentially impossible with any reliability. ETH is currently consolidating around $2,128-$2,143 with no scheduled catalysts during t |
38,455 / 1,053 |
$0.1312 |
| 03/21 13:01 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
This 5-minute directional prediction is essentially unpredictable. While Bitcoin shows slight recent upward momentum and options max pain at $71K suggests minor upward pressure, predicting direction o |
46,150 / 1,135 |
$0.1555 |
| 03/21 12:57 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin price movements over a 15-minute intraday window without specific scheduled catalysts are essentially random noise. While options expiry on March 22 creates some structural pressure toward $71 |
44,789 / 1,145 |
$0.1515 |
| 03/21 12:57 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
30% |
SKIP |
This question asks about a 15-minute directional move in ETH on March 22. Such ultra-short timeframes are dominated by random order flow and market microstructure, not fundamentals. While ETH has show |
42,280 / 1,497 |
$0.1493 |
| 03/21 12:51 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 23? |
50%
|
8%
|
NO |
42.0% |
75% |
TRADE |
Miami's historical March climate data shows average highs of 77-81°F, with late March typically warmer than early March. A high of 71°F or below on March 23 would be highly unusual and would require a |
48,775 / 1,116 |
$0.1631 |
| 03/21 12:50 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on March 24? |
50%
|
2%
|
NO |
48.0% |
95% |
TRADE |
All weather forecasts for March 24 show highs of 50-54°F, approximately 15-19°F above the 35°F threshold. With only 3 days until resolution, forecast confidence is very high. A high of 35°F or below w |
37,708 / 822 |
$0.1255 |
| 03/21 12:50 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
3%
|
NO |
47.0% |
75% |
TRADE |
March 24 forecasts show a high of 50°F, which is typical for late March in Seattle. A high of only 36-37°F would be exceptionally cold, about 15-20 degrees below normal for this date. No weather patte |
47,980 / 946 |
$0.1581 |
| 03/21 12:49 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
The market question lacks critical specification of the reference price for 'up or down' determination. For a 15-minute window on March 22, with major options expiry at $71K max pain and current price |
43,086 / 1,117 |
$0.1460 |
| 03/21 12:49 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Predicting 15-minute price movements in cryptocurrency is essentially random noise. ETH is currently consolidating around $2,140-2,150 with high intraday volatility but no directional bias at this gra |
41,255 / 1,253 |
$0.1426 |
| 03/21 12:48 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is trading around $70,700-$70,800 in a precarious position at heavily tested support with extreme fear (F&G: 12) and bearish technical signals. However, the 5-minute timeframe makes directiona |
41,583 / 1,008 |
$0.1399 |
| 03/21 12:48 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
30% |
SKIP |
This is a 5-minute prediction window on XRP price movement. XRP is currently range-bound at $1.44 with balanced technical indicators and low momentum. In such ultra-short timeframes, price movements a |
70,088 / 1,107 |
$0.2269 |
| 03/21 12:47 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is consolidating around $70,700-$70,800 in early morning trading on March 21. For a 5-minute window (9:00-9:05 AM ET), price movement is driven primarily by microstructure and order flow noise |
44,961 / 1,116 |
$0.1516 |
| 03/21 12:47 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
For a 15-minute window in a 24/7 cryptocurrency market, price direction is essentially random. Recent 24h momentum shows slight positive bias (+1.50%), but technical indicators are mixed with bearish |
62,480 / 1,138 |
$0.2045 |
| 03/21 12:43 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
2%
|
NO |
48.0% |
78% |
TRADE |
Current forecasts show highs around 48-52°F for late March, and climatological averages are 54-55°F. A high of only 36-37°F would be exceptionally cold for Seattle in late March - closer to typical lo |
55,712 / 1,009 |
$0.1823 |
| 03/21 12:43 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
For a 15-minute window, this is essentially a coin flip. Bitcoin is currently trading around $70,700-$70,800 with options expiry at $71K max pain on March 22. The extreme fear sentiment (index at 12), |
43,732 / 1,027 |
$0.1466 |
| 03/21 12:42 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
ETH is trading around $2,140 with recent bearish pressure after FOMC but showing signs of oversold conditions. For a 15-minute window with no scheduled catalysts, price direction is essentially random |
41,245 / 1,149 |
$0.1410 |
| 03/21 12:42 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
20% |
SKIP |
Predicting Bitcoin price direction in a 5-minute window (8:55-9:00 AM ET) is essentially impossible with any edge. While Bitcoin currently trades around $70,760 with extreme fear in markets and key su |
66,994 / 1,174 |
$0.2186 |
| 03/21 12:41 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NEITHER |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
This question asks for price direction during a 5-minute window in a range-bound, low-volatility market. XRP is consolidating between $1.43-$1.47 with no directional momentum. Predicting sub-1% moves |
71,483 / 1,097 |
$0.2309 |
| 03/21 12:41 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET |
50%
|
51%
|
YES |
1.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
For a 5-minute Bitcoin price window, price movements are essentially random noise dominated by order flow microstructure. While BTC shows slight upward momentum over the past 24 hours and is holding a |
74,194 / 1,136 |
$0.2396 |
| 03/21 12:35 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 24? |
50%
|
1%
|
NO |
49.0% |
90% |
TRADE |
A high temperature of 36-37°F on March 24 would be exceptionally cold for Seattle in late March. Historical data shows average highs around 54-57°F for late March, and current NWS forecasts show highs |
50,478 / 998 |
$0.1664 |
| 03/21 12:35 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NONE |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Predicting Bitcoin's direction in a 15-minute window is effectively random. While BTC is in a consolidation phase around $70K with extreme fear sentiment and options expiry on March 22, these factors |
44,224 / 1,038 |
$0.1482 |
| 03/21 12:29 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
This market asks about a 5-minute price window on March 21 from 7:50-7:55 AM ET. Predicting 5-minute crypto price movements is essentially random noise driven by order flow, not fundamental or technic |
68,818 / 1,062 |
$0.2224 |
| 03/21 12:29 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
15% |
SKIP |
This question asks whether XRP will be up or down in a 5-minute window. XRP is currently trading in a tight range of $1.43-$1.46 with sideways price action and neutral technical indicators. Over such |
43,252 / 1,033 |
$0.1453 |
| 03/21 12:28 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is trading at $70,722 with slight upward momentum and options expiry on March 22 with max pain at $71K suggesting marginal upward bias. However, for a 5-minute window, price movements are esse |
39,538 / 1,260 |
$0.1375 |
| 03/21 12:27 |
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
55% |
SKIP |
The most recent Roanoke College poll shows 52% opposition vs 44% support. Republicans are significantly outperforming in early voting (110k vs 72k despite holding fewer districts), suggesting higher G |
60,814 / 995 |
$0.1974 |
| 03/21 12:27 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin shows slight upward momentum over the past 24 hours, trading around $70,700 as of early March 21. However, predicting direction within a specific 5-minute window is effectively random. The sli |
42,969 / 1,037 |
$0.1445 |
| 03/21 12:26 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
51%
|
YES |
1.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Predicting a 15-minute price movement is essentially random regardless of broader trends. ETH shows slight positive momentum (+2.40% over 7 days) and recent forecasts suggest modest gains toward March |
48,396 / 1,287 |
$0.1645 |
| 03/21 12:26 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NEITHER |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is trading around $70,700 in a consolidation range with extreme fear sentiment. For a 5-minute prediction window during weekend trading with reduced liquidity, price movements are essentially |
72,801 / 1,035 |
$0.2339 |
| 03/21 12:25 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
XRP is trading in an extremely tight range ($1.437-$1.451) with low volatility today. Price movements in a 5-minute window are essentially random noise. Current slight downward pressure (-1.27% in 24h |
71,208 / 1,216 |
$0.2319 |
| 03/21 12:25 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is testing critical $70K support for the 5th time with extreme fear (Fear & Greed: 12) and bearish technical indicators. However, predicting a specific 5-minute window (8:30-8:35 AM ET) is ess |
42,596 / 1,168 |
$0.1453 |
| 03/21 12:24 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
For a 5-minute window, Bitcoin price movements are essentially random noise. While BTC is trading around $70,700 with extreme fear sentiment and high volatility, there is no reliable way to predict di |
72,785 / 1,153 |
$0.2356 |
| 03/21 12:24 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
For a 15-minute window, directional prediction is extremely difficult. Bitcoin is currently at $70,722, slightly below options max pain at $71,000. While there's mild gravitational pull toward max pai |
40,209 / 1,132 |
$0.1376 |
| 03/21 12:23 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is trading around $70,700 with extreme fear sentiment (Fear & Greed: 12-23). $1.2B in BTC options expire March 22 with max pain at $71,000, creating slight gravitational pull upward. However, |
41,380 / 1,318 |
$0.1439 |
| 03/21 12:23 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
This is a 15-minute intraday prediction which is essentially random walk territory. While some forecasts suggest upward movement toward $2,265 by March 22, the current technical sentiment is bearish w |
45,679 / 1,062 |
$0.1530 |
| 03/21 12:22 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 8AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
4-hour ETH price movements are essentially random walks. Recent 24-hour momentum shows strong upward movement (10%+), providing minimal directional bias toward 'Up'. However, the short timeframe makes |
63,162 / 1,197 |
$0.2074 |
| 03/21 12:22 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
For a 5-minute intraday window, Bitcoin price movement is essentially random noise. Research confirms Bitcoin lacks consistent intraday seasonality patterns, and sub-hourly movements are dominated by |
75,663 / 1,136 |
$0.2440 |
| 03/21 12:16 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Over a 5-minute window (8:05-8:10 AM ET), Bitcoin price movement is essentially random. While BTC has shown slight upward movement over 24 hours and is holding above $70K support, the timeframe is too |
41,795 / 979 |
$0.1401 |
| 03/21 12:16 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NEITHER |
0.0% |
30% |
SKIP |
This market asks about Solana's price direction during a specific 1-hour window (8:00-9:00 AM ET on March 21). Current technical indicators are neutral (RSI ~49.71), market sentiment is mixed with sli |
65,234 / 1,133 |
$0.2127 |
| 03/21 12:15 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
XRP is trading in an extremely tight range ($1.43-$1.46) with sideways consolidation patterns and no directional momentum. Technical indicators show perfect equilibrium around $1.44-$1.45 moving avera |
41,639 / 1,240 |
$0.1435 |
| 03/21 12:14 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is trading at $70,722 with critical options expiry on March 22 at max pain $71K, suggesting slight upward gravitational pull. However, extreme fear (index: 12), multiple support tests at $70K, |
45,801 / 1,067 |
$0.1534 |
| 03/21 12:14 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
This question asks about Ethereum's price movement during a specific 15-minute window (7:30-7:45 AM ET on March 22). At this time granularity, price movements are essentially random noise with no pred |
39,905 / 1,388 |
$0.1405 |
| 03/21 12:13 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
XRP is trading in a tight consolidation pattern around $1.44-$1.45 with declining volume and no directional momentum. The 7:45-8:00 AM ET window is only 15 minutes during NYSE open—too short for meani |
41,332 / 1,100 |
$0.1405 |
| 03/21 12:13 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin price movements over a 5-minute window are essentially unpredictable random walks. While the market shows extreme fear and technical weakness with a descending triangle pattern, these factors |
40,951 / 1,131 |
$0.1398 |
| 03/21 12:12 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Predicting 5-minute price movements in cryptocurrency is essentially random. Current data shows SOL has slight positive momentum (+1.5% in 24h) and is near support at $89, but this provides negligible |
72,182 / 865 |
$0.2295 |
| 03/21 12:12 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Predicting XRP price direction in a specific 5-minute window (7:55-8:00 AM ET) is essentially impossible with any statistical edge. XRP is currently range-bound between $1.43-$1.47 with neutral moment |
41,655 / 1,233 |
$0.1435 |
| 03/21 12:11 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Predicting Bitcoin's direction in a specific 5-minute window (March 22, 7:20-7:25 AM ET) is essentially a coin flip. While the market shows bearish technical patterns and extreme fear sentiment, with |
39,997 / 1,213 |
$0.1382 |
| 03/21 12:11 |
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? |
50%
|
54%
|
YES |
4.0% |
55% |
SKIP |
January polling showed 51% support for the amendment, and YES has a massive 44:1 funding advantage ($22M vs $495K). However, early voting data shows Republicans outpacing Democrats by 53%, suggesting |
59,841 / 1,024 |
$0.1949 |
| 03/21 12:10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NONE |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
5-minute Bitcoin price movements are essentially random walk behavior dominated by market microstructure noise rather than directional trends. The current 50/50 market price accurately reflects this i |
38,039 / 1,192 |
$0.1320 |
| 03/21 12:10 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
For a 15-minute window on March 22 with no identified catalysts, this is essentially a coin flip. ETH is currently showing neutral short-term momentum around $2,140, with recent daily volatility of 2- |
42,272 / 1,086 |
$0.1431 |
| 03/21 12:09 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
For a 5-minute price prediction window, Bitcoin movement is dominated by microstructure noise and random walk behavior. While BTC is showing slight upward momentum over 24 hours and trading at $70,722 |
44,232 / 988 |
$0.1475 |
| 03/21 12:09 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
XRP is trading in an extremely tight range ($1.43-$1.46) with technical indicators showing sideways consolidation and no directional momentum. The 5-minute window requested falls within normal market |
42,412 / 1,033 |
$0.1427 |
| 03/21 12:03 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET |
50%
|
51%
|
YES |
1.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Predicting 5-minute price movements in crypto is essentially random with even advanced ML models achieving only ~54% accuracy. SOL shows slight positive momentum in 24h (+1.5%) but this provides minim |
65,866 / 952 |
$0.2119 |
| 03/21 12:03 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
15% |
SKIP |
This question asks about price movement during a specific 15-minute window (7:30-7:45 AM ET on March 21) that has already occurred. Without access to granular intraday historical data for that exact t |
40,377 / 846 |
$0.1338 |
| 03/21 12:02 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
This 15-minute prediction window is too short for meaningful analysis. Bitcoin is currently consolidating around $70,700 with extreme fear sentiment and recent volatility. The ultra-short timeframe ma |
44,144 / 1,072 |
$0.1485 |
| 03/21 12:02 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
For a 15-minute trading window, directional prediction is dominated by noise rather than fundamentals. Current slight upward momentum (+2.4% weekly) and March 22 options max pain at $2,200 (vs current |
43,105 / 1,447 |
$0.1510 |
| 03/21 12:01 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
This is a 5-minute price prediction window where movements are essentially random noise. While Bitcoin shows slight 24-hour upward momentum around $70,700, extreme fear conditions (Fear & Greed: 12) a |
38,650 / 1,061 |
$0.1319 |
| 03/21 12:01 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
For a 5-minute Bitcoin price window, price movements are essentially random noise with no predictable directional edge. The historical base rate shows 52.56% of days close higher, which is statistical |
44,544 / 1,045 |
$0.1493 |
| 03/21 12:00 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NEITHER |
0.0% |
20% |
SKIP |
This question asks about XRP's price movement during a specific 5-minute window (7:40-7:45AM ET). XRP is currently trading in an extremely tight range ($1.43-$1.46) with sideways price action and bala |
43,910 / 926 |
$0.1456 |
| 03/21 12:00 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NEITHER |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
This 5-minute window (8:05-8:10AM ET) is too short to predict with any meaningful edge. Bitcoin price movements over such brief intervals are essentially random noise, dominated by microstructure and |
41,716 / 985 |
$0.1399 |
| 03/21 11:59 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Solana is showing slight positive momentum (+1.5% in 24h) and is consolidating in the $88-90 range with technical support around $89. However, hourly price movements in consolidating markets are highl |
37,083 / 1,050 |
$0.1270 |
| 03/21 11:59 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NEITHER |
0.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
This question asks about XRP price direction during a specific 5-minute window (7:45-7:50AM ET). XRP is currently trading in a tight range ($1.43-$1.47) with balanced technical indicators and no direc |
44,692 / 944 |
$0.1482 |
| 03/21 11:58 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is trading at $70,722 with $1.2B options expiring March 22 at $71,000 max pain, suggesting slight upward gravitational pull. However, extreme fear (12/100) and the $70K support tested 4 times |
46,377 / 1,154 |
$0.1564 |
| 03/21 11:58 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
For a 15-minute prediction window, price movements are essentially random noise. ETH shows slight recent upward momentum (+2.4% over 7 days) and some analysts predict gains by March 22. However, the t |
45,761 / 1,524 |
$0.1601 |
| 03/21 11:57 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
XRP is trading in an extremely tight range ($1.43-$1.47) with minimal momentum. In a 15-minute window during early U.S. trading hours, price movements are essentially random noise. The slight recent d |
44,583 / 1,119 |
$0.1505 |
| 03/21 11:56 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET |
50%
|
51%
|
YES |
1.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin showed slight upward momentum from $70,423 to $70,722 over the past day, but predicting a 5-minute price window is essentially random. The market is testing critical $70K support with extreme |
69,940 / 1,127 |
$0.2267 |
| 03/21 11:56 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
20% |
SKIP |
This market asks to predict Solana's price direction during a specific 5-minute window (7:50-7:55 AM ET). Cryptocurrency prices over such short timeframes are dominated by random noise, order flow, an |
42,626 / 968 |
$0.1424 |
| 03/21 11:55 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
51%
|
YES |
1.0% |
30% |
SKIP |
This 5-minute prediction window is too short for any reliable directional edge. Research shows Bitcoin has no consistent intraday patterns at minute-level intervals. While there's slight 24h upward mo |
71,445 / 1,120 |
$0.2311 |
| 03/21 11:54 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
For a 5-minute window, this is essentially a coin flip. Bitcoin is consolidating around $70,700 with extreme fear (F&G: 12) and recent weakness testing $70K support multiple times. Weekend liquidity a |
40,835 / 1,155 |
$0.1398 |
| 03/21 11:54 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
This is a 5-minute price prediction in a low-volatility, range-bound market. XRP has been consolidating around $1.44-$1.45 with declining volume and weak directional momentum. At such ultra-short time |
64,143 / 1,207 |
$0.2105 |
| 03/21 11:53 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NONE |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
This is a 5-minute binary outcome window during weekend trading hours. At such short timeframes, Bitcoin price movements are essentially random noise with no predictable directional bias. The market i |
37,674 / 939 |
$0.1271 |
| 03/21 11:53 |
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
51%
|
YES |
1.0% |
30% |
SKIP |
For a 15-minute window in crypto markets, price direction is essentially random. SOL shows slight 24h positive momentum (+1.5%), but this provides minimal edge for such a short timeframe. The 50/50 ma |
38,279 / 970 |
$0.1294 |
| 03/21 11:52 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET |
50%
|
50%
|
NO |
0.0% |
35% |
SKIP |
XRP is currently trading in tight consolidation around $1.44 with balanced short-term indicators and no directional momentum. In a 5-minute window during sideways price action, movements are essential |
41,815 / 1,042 |
$0.1411 |
| 03/21 11:52 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
52%
|
YES |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
Bitcoin is trading at a critical $70K support level with extreme fear sentiment and major options expiry on March 22 with max pain at $71,000. While some technical indicators suggest upward bias towar |
45,308 / 1,196 |
$0.1539 |
| 03/21 11:51 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
This 15-minute prediction window is too short for meaningful technical or fundamental analysis to provide edge. ETH is currently around $2,130-$2,150 with recent bearish pressure from FOMC hawkishness |
36,961 / 1,450 |
$0.1326 |
| 03/21 11:50 |
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET |
50%
|
48%
|
NO |
2.0% |
25% |
SKIP |
XRP is in tight consolidation around $1.44 with no directional conviction. Technical indicators show balanced conditions with RSI 45-60 and price oscillating in a $1.43-$1.47 range. For a 15-minute wi |
41,575 / 1,043 |
$0.1404 |